In today’s dynamic economic landscape, understanding the pulse of entrepreneurial activity is more crucial than ever.
One of the most telling indicators of this vibrant activity is the number of business applications filed each year.
These applications not only reflect the entrepreneurial spirit of a region but also serve as a barometer for economic health.
An uptick in applications often signals a bullish outlook, with individuals and groups eager to capitalize on emerging opportunities.
Conversely, a downturn might indicate economic headwinds or a lack of confidence in the market.
Key Takeaways
- Business applications surged in 2020, indicating a COVID-19-driven boom in entrepreneurship and startup formation.
- Nonstore retail and personal services sectors experienced the largest growth, highlighting the shift towards e-commerce and self-employment opportunities.
- Monitoring business application trends is essential for understanding economic conditions and making informed decisions.
- The rise in nonemployer business applications suggests an increasing trend towards gig work and independent contracting.
- The long-term effects of the pandemic may include a continued increase in online businesses, remote work, and restructuring in the retail and food services sectors.
Our analysis draws on data from the U.S. Census Bureau, specifically their Business Formation Statistics report.
This comprehensive dataset covers the period from 2004 to 2024, providing a rich, two-decade-long window into the ebb and flow of business applications across the United States.
By examining this data, we can uncover trends, identify patterns, and gain insights into the ever-evolving landscape of American entrepreneurship.
Stay tuned as we delve deeper into the numbers, exploring what they reveal about the state of business and the economy over the past 20 years.
Table of Contents
The Data - Yearly Average Business Applications
What are business applications?
Business applications are requests filed by individuals or entities to start a new business or expand an existing one.
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Business applications are formal documents submitted to government agencies or regulatory bodies to register a new business or make changes to an existing one.
They are used to obtain necessary licenses, permits, and approvals to operate legally.
The number of business applications is often used as an indicator of entrepreneurial activity and economic health.
For example, the U.S. Census Bureau's Business Formation Statistics track the number of new business applications filed each month.
Why is it important to monitor business application trends?
Monitoring business application trends helps us understand the economic landscape and make informed decisions.
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By analyzing trends in business applications, we can gauge the level of entrepreneurial activity, identify emerging sectors, and anticipate economic shifts.
For instance, a surge in business applications may indicate a growing economy and job creation, while a decline could signal economic downturns.
Policymakers, investors, and business leaders use this data to shape strategies, allocate resources, and support economic development.
How did the COVID-19 pandemic affect business applications?
The COVID-19 pandemic led to a significant surge in business applications, especially in the second half of 2020.
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Contrary to expectations, the pandemic resulted in a record number of business applications in 2020, as reported by economist John C. Haltiwanger in his working paper, 'Entrepreneurship during the COVID-19 pandemic: evidence from the business formation statistics.'
This surge was driven by factors such as the shift to e-commerce, the gig economy, and individuals seeking new income sources.
The nonstore retail sector, in particular, saw a notable increase in applications, reflecting the growing trend of online businesses.
What are nonemployer businesses, and why are they significant?
Nonemployer businesses are businesses that have no paid employees and are operated by their owners.
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Nonemployer businesses, often sole proprietorships or independent contractors, are a significant part of the economy, especially in the gig economy.
They represent flexibility and low overhead costs, and their numbers have been increasing over the past 15 years.
The rise in nonemployer business applications during 2020 suggests that more individuals are turning to self-employment and gig work as alternative income sources, particularly in sectors like e-commerce and personal services.
How do new business applications impact job creation?
New business applications can lead to job creation, especially if they are for employer businesses.
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When new businesses are formed, they often hire employees, contributing to job creation.
Historically, new employer businesses have emerged within 4 to 8 quarters of the application date, according to Haltiwanger's analysis.
However, the extent of job creation depends on various factors, including the nature of the business, economic conditions, and the success and growth of the new ventures.
What sectors experienced the largest increases in business applications during the pandemic?
The nonstore retail and personal services sectors saw the largest increases in business applications during the pandemic.
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The nonstore retail sector, which includes online businesses, experienced a significant surge in applications, accounting for one-third of all new businesses formed during the pandemic.
This reflects the shift towards e-commerce as consumers increasingly shop online.
The personal services sector also saw a rise in applications, possibly due to individuals seeking self-employment opportunities in areas like consulting, coaching, and personal care services.
What long-term effects might the pandemic have on small businesses and entrepreneurship?
The pandemic may lead to substantial restructuring in sectors like retail and food services and could accelerate trends like e-commerce and remote work.
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The COVID-19 pandemic has caused significant changes in consumer behavior and business operations.
While some businesses, especially in retail and accommodation, have faced challenges, others have adapted by moving online or pivoting their business models.
As the economy recovers, we may see lasting changes, such as increased online shopping, more remote work, and a rise in gig and freelance work.
These shifts could reshape the small business landscape and entrepreneurship in the coming years.
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Sources
- U.S. Census Bureau, Business Formation Statistics
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, The COVID-19 small business boom: startups surge during pandemic