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Cash Runway Roadmap: How to Forecast Exactly How Long Your Money Will Last



By: Jack Nicholaisen author image
article image

You have cash.

You’re spending it.

You need to know how long it will last.

You need a cash runway roadmap.

Cash runway. Forecast. Time horizon. Your survival.

This guide shows you how.

Runway calculation. Burn rate. Time remaining. Your planning.

Read this. Calculate runway. Plan accordingly.

article summaryKey Takeaways

  • Calculate cash runway—use Cash Runway Calculator to see exactly how many months you have left
  • Calculate burn rate—understand your monthly cash burn to project runway accurately
  • Update regularly—recalculate runway monthly as cash and burn change
  • Plan milestones—use runway to time key decisions like fundraising or cost cuts
  • Build buffers—aim for more runway than you think you need to handle surprises
cash runway roadmap forecast burn rate time horizon planning

Why Runway Matters

Runway shows time remaining.

What happens without runway visibility:

  • Cash runs out unexpectedly
  • Decisions are made too late
  • Opportunities are missed
  • Business fails

What happens with runway visibility:

  • Cash needs are anticipated
  • Decisions are made proactively
  • Opportunities are captured
  • Business survives

The reality: Runway enables survival.

Calculating Cash Runway

Calculate cash runway:

Use Cash Runway Calculator

Calculate it:

Why it matters: Accurate calculation shows true time horizon.

Understand the Output

What the output shows:

  • Months until cash runs out
  • Time available for decisions
  • Urgency level
  • Planning window

Why it matters: Understanding enables planning.

Pro tip: Calculate runway. Use our Cash Runway Calculator for accurate calculation. See our cash flow safety net guide for comprehensive planning.

cash runway calculation burn rate months remaining time horizon

Calculating Burn Rate

Calculate burn rate accurately:

Monthly Cash Outflow

What to include:

  • All operating expenses
  • Payroll and benefits
  • Rent and utilities
  • Marketing and sales
  • Other cash expenses

Why it matters: Complete expenses show true burn.

Exclude Non-Cash Items

What to exclude:

  • Depreciation
  • Amortization
  • Non-cash expenses
  • Accrued expenses not yet paid

Why it matters: Only cash expenses affect runway.

What trends to track:

  • Monthly burn changes
  • Seasonal patterns
  • Growth-related increases
  • Cost reduction impacts

Why it matters: Trends show burn trajectory.

Pro tip: Calculate burn rate. Include all cash expenses, exclude non-cash items, track trends. Use our burn rate guide for detailed calculation.

Updating Regularly

Update runway regularly:

Monthly Updates

What to update monthly:

  • Current cash balance
  • Actual burn rate
  • Projected runway
  • Comparison to previous month

Why it matters: Regular updates maintain accuracy.

When Cash Changes

When to recalculate:

  • After fundraising
  • After major expenses
  • After revenue changes
  • After cost changes

Why it matters: Timely updates reflect reality.

Track Changes Over Time

What to track:

  • Runway trends
  • Burn rate trends
  • Cash balance trends
  • Projection accuracy

Why it matters: Tracking shows patterns.

Pro tip: Update regularly. Monthly updates, recalculate when cash changes, track trends. See our monthly financial review guide for routine.

updating cash runway regularly monthly changes trends

Planning Milestones

Plan milestones using runway:

Fundraising Timing

When to start fundraising:

  • 6-9 months before runway ends
  • Based on typical fundraising timelines
  • Account for negotiation time
  • Build in buffer

Why it matters: Early start prevents crisis.

Cost Reduction Timing

When to cut costs:

  • Before runway gets critical
  • When burn rate is unsustainable
  • When growth isn’t materializing
  • When alternatives are exhausted

Why it matters: Early cuts preserve runway.

Revenue Milestones

What revenue milestones to set:

  • Break-even target
  • Profitability target
  • Growth targets
  • Cash-positive target

Why it matters: Milestones guide decisions.

Pro tip: Plan milestones. Fundraising timing, cost reduction timing, revenue milestones. Use runway to guide all timing decisions.

Building Buffers

Build buffers into runway:

Conservative Assumptions

What assumptions to use:

  • Higher burn rate than expected
  • Lower revenue than projected
  • Longer fundraising timelines
  • Unexpected expenses

Why it matters: Conservative assumptions build safety.

Target Runway Length

What runway to target:

  • Minimum 6 months
  • Preferably 12+ months
  • More for high-growth businesses
  • Adjust for risk level

Why it matters: Longer runway provides flexibility.

Multiple Scenarios

What scenarios to model:

  • Best case
  • Base case
  • Worst case
  • Plan for worst case

Why it matters: Scenarios show range of outcomes.

Pro tip: Build buffers. Conservative assumptions, target runway length, multiple scenarios. See our cash flow scenario planning guide for comprehensive modeling.

Your Next Steps

Calculate runway. Update regularly. Plan milestones.

This Week:

  1. Review this guide
  2. Calculate current cash runway
  3. Calculate current burn rate
  4. Set up monthly tracking

This Month:

  1. Update runway calculation
  2. Compare to previous month
  3. Identify any concerns
  4. Plan next steps

Going Forward:

  1. Update monthly
  2. Track trends
  3. Plan milestones
  4. Build buffers

Need help? Check out our Cash Runway Calculator for runway calculation, our burn rate guide for burn calculation, our cash flow safety net guide for comprehensive planning, and our cash flow scenario planning guide for scenario modeling.


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Sources & Additional Information

This guide provides general information about cash runway forecasting. Your specific situation may require different considerations.

For cash runway calculation, see our Cash Runway Calculator.

For burn rate calculation, see our Burn Rate Guide.

For cash flow scenario planning, see our Cash Flow Scenario Planning Guide.

Consult with professionals for advice specific to your situation.

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About the Author

jack nicholaisen
Jack Nicholaisen

Jack Nicholaisen is the founder of Businessinitiative.org. After acheiving the rank of Eagle Scout and studying Civil Engineering at Milwaukee School of Engineering (MSOE), he has spent the last 5 years dissecting the mess of informaiton online about LLCs in order to help aspiring entrepreneurs and established business owners better understand everything there is to know about starting, running, and growing Limited Liability Companies and other business entities.